Here are my Week 14 NFL picks against the spread:
Indianapolis Colts +7 (over Cincinnati Bengals)
Both of these teams are leading their divisions, and come into this game sporting a 8-4 record, and an outside shot for a first-round bye.
The Colts have been winning ugly, as they have not played a complete 60 minutes since they beat Denver at home. The Bengals have sputtered on offense as of late, as they have only scored over 20 points once in their last four games, and they were aided by two defensive touchdowns against the Browns. The Colts have historically gotten the better of the play, as they are 4-1 in their last five against the Bengals and the spread.
While I think the Bengals will get the win, Andrew Luck will make enough plays against a Cincy defense that can be thrown against. If you are giving an 8-4 team seven points, then I will take it.
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Detroit Lions +3 (over Philadelphia Eagles)
Such another Jekyl and Hyde season for the Lions, two weeks ago they looked like crap in losing to Tampa, and then they turn around and smoke Green Bay on Thanksgiving. The Eagles have finally figured out their home of Lincoln field, as they have won two straight, after dropping their first 4 home tilts this year.
I love this Lions matchup, as they have the third-ranked rushing defense that only allows 82.7 yards per game and 3.7 yards per carry, which will certainly slow down LeSean McCoy.Also, I love Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson going against one of the worst secondaries out there that allows 297 yards per game, and 20 touchdowns so far this year.
Anytime I am getting these two statistical advantages, and also the early Christmas present of three points for Detroit, I am going to take the 3 here as I think the Lions will be the better team after 10 days off.
Seattle Seahawks +2.5 (over San Francisco 49ers)
Most people think that this will be a letdown game for Seattle, as they are coming off a huge win vs. New Orleans, and they are on the short week. The Seahawks have owned the 49ers as of late, as in their last two games they have won by a combined score of 71-20.
The 49ers, and more specifically Colin Kaepernick, have struggled to throw the ball this year, and now they have the pleasure of facing the best passing defense in the league that only gives up a 58-percent completion rate, 177 yards per game and 13 touchdowns. I know that the Seahawks will be able to shut down Frank Gore & Co. on the ground, and Kaepernick is just not good enough to beat them through the air.
The Seahawks match up well, and dare I say have the Niners number, so I will easily take the 2.5 for the better team.
Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.
Week 14 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends
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